Uncertainty quantification

Uncertainty-Guided Data Augmentation for Engineers | Deep Dive - Yongmin Kwon

Uncertainty-Guided Data Augmentation for Engineers | Deep Dive - Yongmin Kwon

This session details a data-efficient method for training engineering surrogate models by using uncertainty quantification (UQ) to guide geometric data augmentation. Instead of random deformations, the approach lets the deep ensemble model identify its own knowledge gaps (epistemic uncertainty), then uses Free-Form Deformation (FFD) to generate new shapes specifically in those uncertain regions. This ensures every expensive simulation run yields maximally informative data, significantly improving model accuracy for a fixed computational budget across domains like structural mechanics and aerodynamics.

Inference, not prediction — Prof. Michael I. Jordan on what modern AI is still missing

Inference, not prediction — Prof. Michael I. Jordan on what modern AI is still missing

Michael I. Jordan, a leading figure in machine learning and statistics, argues for reframing AI from a race for disembodied superintelligence to the design of collective economic systems. He critiques the AGI hype, advocates for integrating economic principles and robust uncertainty quantification into ML, and proposes a new intellectual framework for building technology that augments, rather than replaces, human systems.