Scaling and the Road to Human-Level AI | Anthropic Co-founder Jared Kaplan

Jared Kaplan, co-founder of Anthropic, explains how the discovery of predictable, physics-like scaling laws in AI training provides a clear roadmap for progress. He details the two main phases of model training (pre-training and RL), discusses how scaling compute predictably unlocks longer-horizon task capabilities, and outlines the remaining challenges—memory, nuanced oversight, and organizational knowledge—on the path to human-level AI.