Geopolitics

China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? – Casey Handmer

China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? – Casey Handmer

Casey Handmer explains why the massive energy demand from AI will be met not by the grid or natural gas, but by vast, off-grid solar farms, and what this energy singularity means for the future of civilization.

The Current Reality of American AI Policy: From ‘Pause AI’ to ‘Build’

The Current Reality of American AI Policy: From ‘Pause AI’ to ‘Build’

a16z's Martin Casado and Anjney Midha detail the dramatic shift in U.S. AI policy from a 'pause AI' stance, fueled by doomerism and flawed analogies, to a pro-innovation 'win the race' strategy. They discuss how China's progress shattered illusions of a U.S. lead, the strategic business case for open source AI, and the pragmatic promise of the new AI Action Plan.

No Priors Ep. 127 | With SemiAnalysis Founder and CEO Dylan Patel

No Priors Ep. 127 | With SemiAnalysis Founder and CEO Dylan Patel

SemiAnalysis CEO Dylan Patel discusses the shifting AI landscape, covering OpenAI's strategic open-source release, the fierce competition to challenge Nvidia's dominance, the consolidation of neoclouds, and the geopolitical implications of the global AI infrastructure buildout.

Dwarkesh and Noah Smith on AGI and the Economy

Dwarkesh and Noah Smith on AGI and the Economy

Dwarkesh Patel and Noah Smith debate the definition of AGI, its economic implications, and timelines. They contrast an economic definition (automating white-collar work) with a cognitive one, exploring why current models lack economic value despite reasoning abilities due to a failure in 'continual learning'. The discussion covers the potential for explosive economic growth versus a collapse in consumer demand, the substitution vs. complementarity of human labor, and the geopolitical shift from population size to inference capacity as the basis of power.

No Priors Ep. 125 | With Senior White House Policy Advisor on AI Sriram Krishnan

No Priors Ep. 125 | With Senior White House Policy Advisor on AI Sriram Krishnan

Sriram Krishnan, Senior White House Policy Advisor on AI, outlines the America AI Action Plan, a strategy designed to ensure U.S. dominance in artificial intelligence. He discusses the three core pillars of the plan—infrastructure, innovation, and global standards—while also exploring the geopolitical race with China, the critical role of open-source models, and the need for America to own the full AI stack, from GPUs to applications.

Balaji Srinivasan: How AI Will Change Politics, War, and Money

Balaji Srinivasan: How AI Will Change Politics, War, and Money

Technologist Balaji Srinivasan joins a16z's Erik Torenberg and Martin Casado to discuss the limitations and societal impact of AI, framing the conversation around the concept of "Polytheistic AGI"—multiple, culturally-specific AIs—versus a singular, god-like intelligence. They explore the practical system-level constraints on AI, its surprising evolution, the critical role of cryptography in grounding AI in reality, and the future of work and security in an AI-driven world.